Don’t go cold turkey – at least not in terms of easing lockdown limitations.
This is the message of a new study that uses mathematical modeling to show that governments should not simply shut down lockdown measures once the infection rate has dropped, unless they want to take random risks. Coronavirus cases Which threatens to overwhelm their healthcare system.
“Decision makers – focus on mathematics: emerging from a lockdown requires a gradual and phased approach to controlling the infection,” said Michael Bonsal, of the Mathematical Ecology Research Group at Oxford University, who led the research team.
“By not paying attention to this, you run the risk of burdening the health system with more waves of infection,” Bonsal told CNN.
Lockdown restrictions or “anti-infective tactics” vary from country to country and state to state, but include travel bans, school closures, work-from-home orders, segregation and isolation. They can reduce the rate of infection, as it spreads the infection over a long period of time in contact Curved plane.
For the lockdown, an estimated 100 million million coronaviruses have been prevented in the United States, and 265 million in China. A separate study Recently published in the journal Nature.
But lockdowns have huge costly costs and crippled economies around the world, including the official sinking of the United States.
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