What’s up: Almost at some point I explained that Biden’s top Trump, someone will inevitably “bring up the word 2016 but 2016”, which is why this week marked a significant milestone for Biden’s campaign.
This is the first time in an election year that Biden has clearly outperformed Hillary Clinton’s 2016 pace in a matchup against Trump.
Biden was not significantly followed in a single live interview survey this entire year.
Although Clinton regained some of her advantage in June 201, four years ago the race was so close that there were indications that the electors were a bit upset. It showed that under the right circumstances Clinton could lose nationally, or at the very least, Trump could come to the national level sufficiently to win the electoral college.
But it is not just margins that are important to examine. See vote percentage.
The reason Biden’s leadership is so broader than Clinton’s is that he is running slightly more than five points more than where Clinton was in terms of percentage of votes. Biden was slightly higher than 47%, and Clinton was slightly lower than 43%.
Even after Clinton’s leadership widened in June, she never managed to get up to 48% in the election.
Interestingly, as of the end of May 2016, Trump had almost the same percentage of votes, almost pulling round without scoring, he is running worse than just about 0.4 points.
By the end of May 2016, there were a lot of unintentional or third-party voters without a round goal. Biden and Trump added an average of 89.5% of the vote. Clinton and Trump added 74.9%.
Remember, some of the surveys completed four years ago among 23 girls from May 16 included Libertarian Gary Johnson as an alternative. Clinton and Trump kept the deal locked in just under 39%. In other words, Trump is tied to Clinton because he has less votes now than in the 2020 election. The party’s main candidates together added 77% to Johnson’s investigative survey.
Plenty of Americans have already said they are more likely to vote for Biden in the general election matchup than they have at any point in the final six months of the campaign.
The obvious question going forward is whether Biden will be able to maintain this momentum. So far, he and his basement campaign have been in the spotlight.