GOP Operations Fear Trump Will Lose Majority in Both President and Senate

Today, this view has changed drastically.

“Say it like this, I’m so glad my boss isn’t on the ballot in this cycle,” said a senior GOP Senate aide.

Republican strategists are increasingly concerned that Trump is heading for defeat in November and that he could pull other Republicans along with him.

Seven GOP operators not directly involved in the presidential re-election campaign told CNN that Trump’s response to the epidemic and the subsequent economic consequences have significantly damaged his bid for a second term – and the effects have begun to hit Republicans more broadly. Some of these operators asked not to be identified for speaking more freely.

Many have said that Trump’s Republican nominee, Joe Biden, shows what he is looking for in his private polls, and public opinion polls show that this trend is bleeding into the Senate’s main race. The GOP already had a difficult task securing 23 Senate seats in 2020. As the epidemic unfolded, the task of defending its slim 3-seat majority has only become more difficult. States like Arizona and North Carolina, once thought to be home to the winning Senate race, are now in danger.
Watch Trump and Biden take one major vote after another
Trump himself is becoming aware of the problem. Politico reported this week Trump’s own two outside political advisers, Corey Lewandowski and David Bosi, warned the president last week that his support was waning in a number of swing states.

All of this proves how difficult it will be to run as a Republican resignation anywhere by 2020. Talking to CNN, strategists have expressed concern that Trump has become responsible for the Republicans to expand their alliance beyond the core of the president’s supporters.

A few months ago they were confident about the prospects of the team across the board, many strategists who spoke to CNN have lowered their expectations and are now talking about reducing the concerns they may have for the GOP. That puts the minors in anticipation of their devastating defeat, much like Mitt Romney’s narrow loss, as Republicans lost two Senate seats in 2012 to John McCain’s performance four years earlier, when they lost eight.

“Republican candidates need something more like Romney in ’12 and more like McCain in ’08,” said Liam Donvan, a GOP strategist in Washington.

The widespread fear among Republicans is that the election could become a referendum on Trump’s performance during the epidemic. Combined in a credit economy, this effect can be both devastating for Republican loyalists and for shutting down swing voters.

A couple of these punches from Washington could remove the GOP from power – and strategists hope the presidential re-election team can successfully transform an election contest between Trump and an unnecessary biden.

The effort, however, has become increasingly difficult against the backdrop of the epidemic that has destroyed many of the economic gains that Republicans had hoped to form the basis of their re-election argument.

“That’s what he (Trump) can’t change,” said one Republican strategist. “It’s not a political opponent, it’s not going on and he never had to do anything like that.”

There is some evidence that Trump is not to blame for the economic downturn. In the most recent CNN survey, Since early May, Trump has an overall approval rating of 45%. Only 42% approved of how he handled the epidemic, 50% still said they approved of Trump managing the economy.

Trump’s campaign argued that Americans trust the president in managing the economy and would choose him as the person to lead the recovery.

“The economic message resonates strongly, especially at times like this,” said Tim Murto, Trump’s campaign communications director. “President Trump will obviously bring us back to that position. Once he did it, he will do it again.”

Still, the concern for Republicans crossing Trump’s orbit is that if there are no signs of the economy being cornered by November, it will become an unlikely argument for Trump’s campaign.

“Many who are missing the VV-shaped recovery think he’s dead in the water,” the Republican strategist said.

Trump’s party

In the four years since he won the GOP nomination, Trump has consolidated his position within the party. This has made it harder for Republicans in Congress to distance themselves from his base without opposing it. That, Republican operatives say, could be considered by the GOP but risks keeping voters who don’t like the president away.

“It’s a very, very tough environment. If you have a college degree and you live in the suburbs, you don’t want to vote for us,” said one longtime Republican congressional campaign adviser, who added that there are serious concerns about both seniors and Self-described individual male bleeding support.

Some of these Republicans say the party’s main concern should be to retain a majority in the Senate. Senate candidates are needed to do this, appealing to Democrats and suburban voters in the midterm elections in the 2013 midterm elections in response to Trump.

But how complicated Republican candidates who are dependent on the president are for the most votes is complex, even in the states where Trump’s campaign is not expected to win. GOP Census. Colorado’s Corey Gardner and Maine’s Susan Collins can’t carry Trump’s bases in their states in despair, even as they play their unique identities to win swing voters.

Concerns for Republicans have outweighed endangered species – including Sense. Martha Maxley of Arizona and Thom Tillis of North Carolina. Donvan said that even in a bad year for Trump, there is a chance that the GOP-held Senate seats in Georgia and Montana could run into problems.

Distance from the President

Meanwhile, the crafted economy has intensified the need for Republican senators to subtly differentiate themselves from Trump and his record. Scott Reid, political director of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and a veteran Republican campaign leader, says a presidential re-election campaign is “always” coming and his party is holding a referendum.

The bad effect on Republicans is that if the economy fails to improve or another wave of viruses rises this summer, Reed said the GOP is not necessarily doomed. Congress, he noted, has a relative momentum compared to popularity – 31% support In the latest Gallup poll, The highest in more than a decade – thanks in part to the passing of economic relief.

Reed said visitors should also be applauded for their personal, localized accomplishments, and for places where they were distinct from Trump, without explicitly alienating pro-Trump Republicans in their states.

Gardner, for example, Claimed to be the “chief architect” For plans to relocate the headquarters of the Federal Bureau of Land Management to Colorado, which the Trump administration announced last year. The first-term GOP senator has hailed the decision as a bipartisan victory for the western states, where most of the companies run have landed Gardner as a victory against land and Washington bureaucrats. It also has the advantage of having little to do with Trump’s own or the economic crisis.
And in his campaign for a fifth term, Collins is heavily leaning on his established political identity as an independent centrist. His most recent TV commercial For the seventh year in a row, Georgetown University’s Lugar Center sought to name him “the most bipartisan U.S. senator.”

The line was intended to combat the most persistent criticism of Democrats – in line with the Trump administration, from Collins’ judicial appointments to health care to impeachment – and voted for Trump without denying himself.

Republicans noted that while Democrats and progressive interest groups have already spent millions on TV and digital advertising against newcomers, the GOP and its own ally the PAC have yet to fully participate in the air war against Democratic challengers.

“True, despite the fact that the truth has been largely overtaken by liberal dark money groups, Republicans are still in a pretty good position to gain a Senate majority after the fall,” said Jesse Hunt, a spokesman for the National Republican Senate Committee.

Trump’s campaign eased the concerns of down-ballot Republicans and indicated that a unified GOP offered the best chance of winning across the board in November.

“The candidate who wants to win will run with the president,” said Erin Perrin, Trump’s deputy communications director. “He has the strength, the motivation and the grassroots infrastructure. If you’re a candidate, you want to be part of that movement.”

What Republican professionals say will help a lot if the president is stuck on an encouraging message to get the country back from the epidemic.

“When he does exactly that for three days in a row, it really hinders his numbers,” Reed said. “We need command performance in message chain”

About the author: Dale Freeman

Typical organizer. Pop culture fanatic. Wannabe entrepreneur. Creator. Beer nerd.

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